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HeHateMe
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Post subject: NFL 2010 Season Projections
 Posted: Jul 10, 2010 - 08:05 PM
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Joined: Jan 26, 2008
Posts: 80
Status: Offline
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I went ahead and applied my model to the NFL to get a glimpse into the 2010 NFL season. Keep in mind, my model applied last season's stats to this season's schedule. This projection does not take into account coaching changes, draft results, player movements, and scheme changes, etc. This is why teams like the Eagles are projected to still do well (despite McNabb being a Redskin).
Some interesting things to note: The Vikings and Bengals are projected to miss the playoffs simply because their schedules are far more difficult this season. Maybe Brett will retire to avoid the pounding he will take this season? Also, the Panthers are projected to make it as a wild card because they have an easier schedule. The Cardinals will give up the division to the 49ers (a team that owned the Cardinals last season and will again) and miss the postseason. The Saints have a slightly tougher schedule and will ultimately find that they can't get past the Cowboys (one of the few teams that beat the Saints last season). The Jet's free agent acquisitions will pay off by giving them a winning record and a division title, but not much more.
I will revisit this projection after week 3 and week 11 (i.e. before and after the bye week stretch).
x - Clinches Wild Card
y - Clinches Division
z - Clinches Division and Bye
* - Clinches Division and Homefield Advantage
AFC East
y 1. New York Jets
x 2. New England Patriots
3. Miami Dolphins
4. Buffalo Bills
AFC North
* 1. Baltimore Ravens
x 2. Pittsburgh Steelers
3. Cincinnati Bengals
4. Cleveland Browns
AFC East
y 1. Indianapolis Colts
2. Houston Texans
3. Tennessee Titans
4. Jacksonville Jaguars
AFC West
z 1. San Diego Chargers
2. Denver Broncos
3. Kansas City Chiefs
4. Oakland Raiders
NFC East
z 1. Dallas Cowboys
x 2. Philadelphia Eagles
3. New York Giants
4. Washington Redskins
NFC North
* 1. Green Bay Packers
2. Minnesota Vikings
3. Chicago Bears
4. Detroit Lions
NFC East
y 1. New Orleans Saints
x 2. Carolina Panthers
3. Atlanta Falcons
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC West
y 1. San Francisco 49ers
2. Arizona Cardinals
3. Seattle Seahawks
4. St. Louis Rams
PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS
WILDCARD ROUND
New York Jets OVER the Pittsburgh Steelers
New England Patriots OVER the Indianapolis Colts
New Orleans Saints OVER the Carolina Panthers
Philadelphia Eagles OVER the San Francisco 49ers
DIVISIONAL ROUND
Baltimore Ravens OVER the New England Patriots
New York Jets OVER the San Diego Chargers
Green Bay Packers OVER the Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys OVER the New Orleans Saints
CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIPS
Baltimore Ravens OVER the New York Jets
Green Bay Packers OVER the Dallas Cowboys
SUPER BOWL
Green Bay Packers OVER the Baltimore Ravens |
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